Americans decide Trump’s Congress today

Americans are voting today in midterm elections that will decide whether President Donald Trump’s Republicans keep control of Congress or Democrats win the power to block his agenda, including the tariffs reshaping Canada’s trade. All 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governorships are on the ballot. More than 57 million people voted early, polls favour Democrats to retake the House, and the Senate race remains too close to call.

• All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats are being contested today, Tuesday, November 3, alongside governorships in 36 states and three territories, thousands of state and local races, and ballot measures on issues including taxes, abortion rights and voting rules.
• Republicans go into election day holding both chambers by narrow margins — the House by 218 seats to 214, and the Senate by 53 to 47. Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats for a majority there, because a 50–50 tie would still be broken by Republican Vice President JD Vance.
• Polls and nonpartisan analysts favour Democrats to retake the House, while control of the Senate remains uncertain. A Reuters/Ipsos poll completed Monday put Democrats ahead 46 per cent to 38 per cent on the congressional ballot, with President Trump’s approval near record lows as voters cite the cost of living, fuel prices after the war with Iran, and his sweeping tariffs.
• More than 57 million Americans had already voted before election day, well above the roughly 46 million early votes cast in the 2022 midterms. The first polls opened at 5 a.m. ET in Vermont; the first closings come at 6 p.m. ET in Indiana and Kentucky, and the last polls close after midnight ET.
• The closest Senate races are expected to decide control — among them Texas, where Democrat James Talarico faces Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton; Maine, where Republican Senator Susan Collins seeks a sixth term against Democrat Troy Jackson; and contests in Michigan, Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio and North Carolina.
• For Canada, the stakes are direct: a Democratic Congress could block or reshape the tariff agenda at the centre of Ottawa’s trade fight with Washington, while a Republican hold would leave President Trump’s program intact for his final two years. Counting in close races could take days, so control of Congress may not be known on election night.

Sources: CBC News, Reuters, The Associated Press, BBC News, The Guardian

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